Oct. 13, 2006 — Wow. Back-to-back beatdowns and suddenly Virginia Tech, in the eyes of the college football world, are down and out and were overrated to begin with. Honestly, though, are any of us really surprised by how our beloved Hokies have played the last two games? Did our collective expectations ascend so dramatically during the first four games that we ceased to be rational fans and willed ourselves to believe that our offense could actually compete with top tier teams, and even win? Judging from the fan reaction, yes, some of us are guilty. But, can you blame us?We, as fans, have become spoiled during the last 13 seasons, during which time Tech has averaged better than nine wins per season to only three losses (122-39). Seven times during those 13 years, Tech finished with 10 or more wins. That’s an incredible record for any team. Though no one is calling for Beamer’s job (many, however, are calling for Bryan Stinespring’s), I’m reminded of when Nebraska fans and alumni were so disgusted with consistent 9-3 seasons that they fired Frank Solich. How’d that work out for them?
At this point, I think most Tech fans would be thrilled with a 9-3 season, which would be mean the Hokies would go 5-1 down the stretch and end up in a decent bowl game. However, the schedule doesn’t get any easier and there is a very good chance Tech will lose four, possibly even five of its last six games, which would end Tech’s streak of 13 consecutive bowl appearances. Let’s take an optimistic look at the remaining schedule:
Oct. 21 – Home vs. Southern Mississippi (3-2)
Southern Miss. is a 3-2 team with two wins coming against some pretty soft competition (Southeastern Louisiana and Central Florida). Their “big” win was a 37-17 drubbing of North Carolina State, which beat Boston College on a last second Hail Mary touchdown. The Golden Eagles’ two losses include a season-opening debacle against Florida, 34-7, and last week’s embarrassing loss to Tulsa, 20-6. After Georgia Tech and Boston College exposed an alarming number of weaknesses in Virginia Tech’s game, the Southern Miss. game is no longer a gimme. The one positive is that the Eagles have lost both of their games on the road and if the Tech faithful show up en mass, it might be the difference between a win and a loss. I’m giving the Hokies an ugly win here with a couple of big plays on defense. (Tech, 5-2)
Oct. 26 – Home vs. Clemson (6-1)
I don’t think there’s much we can say about this game. On paper it’s a complete mismatch. Clemson’s offense is a juggernaut, averaging better than 43 points a game. However, their schedule is one of the softest in the country. Four of their six wins have comes against Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, Louisiana Tech and Temple. Their two “quality” wins are against a Florida State and Wake Forest. Their lone loss was against Boston College. What makes matters worse is that this is a Thursday night game and Tech will be coming off four days rest from the Southern Miss. game. The good news is, Clemson will also be coming off a short week in which they play host to No. 13 Georgia Tech. Hopefully the Yellow Jackets can take a little steam out of the Clemson engine before they drive up to Blacksburg. However, I don’t think it will be enough – Clemson rolls Tech to its second straight loss on ESPN’s Thursday night college football. (Tech, 5-3)
Nov. 4 – Away vs. Miami (3-2)
Miami, Florida State and Virginia Tech are all having down years, but Miami is always a tough game at home and between now and Nov. 4, when the Hokies come to town, the Hurricanes play Florida Atlantic, Duke and Georgia Tech. Miami will rebuild some of their confidence against FAU and Duke, but Georgia Tech should give them a serious run for their money right before they play Virginia Tech. Again, Hokie fans will count on the Ramblin’ Wreck to soften up the opponent, but on the road, I just don’t see Tech pulling out a win in the Orange Bowl. Chalk up another loss. (Tech, 5-4)
Nov. 11 – Home vs. Kent State (4-2)
Tech returns home after another disappointing conference loss and will take what frustrations it has left and pound the Golden Flashes into submission. Tech won’t win this game on heart, they’ll win because they have superior athletes and talent, which will be enough. Should Tech lose this game, they should probably just pack it in. Kent State barely escaped with a win over Temple. (Tech, 6-4 and bowl eligible)
Nov. 18 – Away vs. Wake Forest (5-1)
Wake Forest has been the surprise team of the ACC this year, going 5-1, with their only loss coming on a fourth quarter collapse to Clemson. Wake had dominated that game, but their lack of experience protecting a fourth quarter lead against a ranked team did them in and the wheels came off. The pollsters haven’t been convinced and have denied the Decons entry into the top 25. The ACC will have a better idea of how real the Deacs are in the weeks leading up to the Virginia Tech game. Jim Grobe’s team faces N.C. State, Boston College and Florida State, with UNC sandwiched in there. If they can pull off a pair of wins against BC, FSU or NCST, then I think the Hokies will be in for a tougher game than they anticipated earlier in the year. I am a Jim Grobe fan and love what he’s been able to do down in Winston-Salem, and while I think they are a much improved team, I think they lack the depth to hang with BC and FSU. They’ll probably sneak by NCST and handle the Tar Heels, but the Hokies will have four more games under their belts against some good teams and I think they will only get better. I give Tech another win here, but it will a close one. (Tech, 7-4)
Nov. 25 – Home vs. Virginia (2-4)
The Cavaliers are 2-4 as of today, Oct. 13. But they have Maryland, North Carolina and N.C. State up next. The Cavs are just plain bad, but they have a shot at beating the Terps and Heels. The Pack should handle the Hoos easily, sending Virginia to Florida State and Miami, which will result in three straight losses before they head down to Blacksburg for the Battle for the Commonwealth. This is the kind of year that scares me, when it comes to this rivalry game. Virginia is way down. They’re flat our terrible, and as history has taught us, those are the years that the Hoos are the most dangerous. We haven’t lost to Virginia at home since the 1998 season when they scored the biggest comeback in their school’s history, beating us 36-32. I have a bad feeling about this game, right now. And unless Tech shows us something different in the weeks leading up to this season finale, I fear we’re in for a colossal disappointment. It won’t make sense because we’re the superior team in terms of talent, speed, strength, etc., but against Virginia, the rules have never applied. We end on a disappointing note in Al Groh’s last game as the Cavalier head coach – a doubly sad day for the Hokie Nation. (Tech, 7-5 – Going to the Boise Bowl)
What does it all mean, Basil?
Look, the Hokie fascists can rip me all they want, but I’m as dedicated a Hokie fan as the next reasonable, non-psychotic alum, but I’m being honest with you, and as well all know, honesty sucks sometimes. But, we deal with it and we move on. I hope I’m wrong. I hope Tech goes 6-0 down the stretch and we finish 10-2 and just outside the top 10. I hope they fire Stiney too, but neither of those things are going to happen (thought it’s on my official Christmas wish list).
This was a growing pains type of season. We knew that in the back of our minds going into the year, but after four straight wins, some of us convinced ourselves that maybe we can bypass the growing pains – maybe we can just fast forward. Sadly, we have too much inexperience on the offensive line and with our quarterback to overcome those deficiencies. We also have an offensive coordinator who just doesn’t get it. When the announcers in the booth, Doug Flutie, and the rest of the free world are watching your offense and asking, “What is he doing? That makes absolutely no sense,” then you have a problem. Beamer? Hello? Anybody watching the game tapes? I’m sure Stiney’s a nice guy, a good family man and that he loves Virginia Tech football, but if you love it, set it free.
This isn’t our year. And next year probably won’t be our year either. But, I believe Virginia Tech will explode onto the scene again in 2008 and will make a serious run at the National Championship – that is, unless ESPN can figure out a way to go ahead and award it to Notre Dame or Ohio State.
Think I’m nuts? E-mail me your comments, rants and ramblings. If you do write to me, be prepared to see your comments on the Web site! Though I will edit out all profanity and replace it with funny words.
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